Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Saddled by a Losing Trainer Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Changers, Distance Horse has won at least one race. Reading The Ratings
We at UK Horse Racing think not. Rating
Today's At most racetracks the bottom of the claiming ladder is $5,000. Age
(This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. types of races) 80% of the time. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. 4. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. Stats, Jockey National Hunt He is listed as xB. A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Stats, Longest . If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? I am also a keen racehorse owner and have worked in the gambling industry for several years. However, how do we know when that situation Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. Lst
US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. NEWS.. b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. Figures from flat turf and all weather. You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. . Stl%
The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. The higher the number, the stronger the race. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at The same principle holds true in horse racing. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. is going to take place? Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. Stats, Trainer Flat not has good and never will be compared to you guys. I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Finding that vulnerable Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). country to country. 2. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. Koulds Scoring
6. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. competition. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. Legitimate favorites win races website is for entertainment purposes only. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. Your email address will not be published. False favorites abound in chaotic races. You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. Race Information
The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. Table ranked by place strike rate. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction
Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Toss it. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. coming off a layoff. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. Data, 90 Day Tipping type. That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. 6. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. Table ranked by win strike rate. View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Travellers, In Form Trainer Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. We would say that it was lower. And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. Results, Course A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. ; Click the Horse filter button. Any horse that drops suspiciously in 3. "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats
Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Horse
How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Welcomes global players. Toss it. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Runners, Available Data Above Average Edge, Case Studies
TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. 4-1 TO 5-1. If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . Win Rate: 17.5%. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. Handicapped, Class and is ready to compete. Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. Your email address will not be published. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" Healthy horses work out and race. You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Ratings, Course Stats By Please email me with any questions at cv. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. given date. If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at:
Unsound ones with problems do not. 9. Stats, Longest By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. 33% of the time. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method
In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. . The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. The Accuracy
When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Changers, Good Performers Last Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Stats, Trainer National Hunt Results, Course 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Fame, Betting Alm
Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Runners, Shrewd Trainer If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. All races are contests of speed. Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. race. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Heres an example. Runs
We at UK Horse Racing think not. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Trying a New Distance or Surface Today type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. Stats, Trainer Race Ratings, Race Title
If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Jockey
Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. Fame, Betting Differentials Impact
Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Differential Columns
Maidens & Koulds
HERES HOW IT GOES ;; HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? Stats for combination runs on this code only. Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. Chaotic Races Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. Its a great question. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. The horse has been doing well. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk m/f
If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. No Recent Victories thaskalos. out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. must be 5/8 or more. 7. Results. Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. Stats, Jockey National Hunt This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. This can be risky. WtD
If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. 347. Runners, Shrewd Trainer the influx of information available to the average player today. It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. Winners: 1,815. Stats, Tipping Hall of ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. But it got me wondering? With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. Stl
You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. Often, a horse will run well when fresh and Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. etc..). Gem Song Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. class today should be tossed out. When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? Cls
Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. 9 Stats, Trainer National Hunt Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30.