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This number is too high for a guy who hits it this well and is this good around the greens. The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando. https://t.co/uldLYRZvRh, To-win: Daniel Berger, +5,000. While there is a gulf of differences between the skills and mindset needed to win a major title and winning at your average PGA TOUR stop, Homas game should fit both on paper. When it comes to my betting picks this week, you won't find anything too groundbreaking here. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. shot lead in the second round of the PGA Tour's Arnold Palmer Invitational on Friday.The Spaniard had taken a two-shot lead on Thursday with a seven-under-par 65 . Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Among the top qualifiers for the Championship are Scottie Sheffler, Will Zalatoris, and Cameron Smith. It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. The 30-year-old Englishmen has underperformed this year for how well he has played. With that said, however, his great form and how hes succeeding leads me to believe he can be a factor this week. Golfers should expect tough conditions and high winds this week. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022! Still, Hovland is plenty good enough in that category he ranks 28th to have a quality outing in this major. FOLLOW US ON SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. You can bet all of them as winners, but some fit better into betting cards as top-10 finishers, sleepers or DFS value picks. For +12,500, I will bet that we see flashes of 2020 Wolff at Southern Hills. Mike McClure has locked in his sleepers and PGA one and done golf picks this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill. Dahmen captured his first PGA Tour win at the 2021 Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship in March, and he finished T10 in last year's PGA Championship. Either way, buckle up, because water and wind should make for plenty of drama come Sunday. It's the city in which two best moments in golf have come - namely, winning the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson and then successfully defending his crown just this past week. He ranks top 40 in this field in approach, around the green, putting, sand saves, bogey avoidance and three-putt avoidance. Jacob Camenker is a senior content producer at The Sporting News. Top 3 High Value Sleepers and Sleeper Picks and Predictions for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA Golf Tournament Running from March 2 to 5 2023. He's also shown that he can play with the big boys and has three other top-25 finishes in 2021, including finishing 18th at The Masters. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! He has made the cut in all eight majors that he has played, including three top-12 finishes. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Sportsbook Keegan Bradley To Win: +8000 Top-5 Finish: +1100 Top-10 Finish: +500 Top-20 Finish: +200 The 2011 PGA Champion is beginning to look like his former self in that he is contending on a regular basis. He's also coming into this event off of a third-place finish at the Byron Nelson, so you know he's in great form. Don't have an account? Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Some of the game's biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins. I dont buy into many course comparisons this week. The result marks Kirk's . This isnt the same Southern Hills where Tiger won in 2007. Strokes gained approaching the green (SG:APR) will also be important for this major, as will one-putt percentage. PGA Championship sleeper picks If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring, Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000) each have the potential to outperform expectations. Four top fives this season, two of which have come in his past two starts. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. 1. After a T13 at THE PLAYERS this year, his best finish in that event, he seems poised to make the next logical leap. This number jumps off the board a bit, since it doesnt mesh with Goochs resume entering the PGA Championship. Joe Nicely's under-the-radar DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Cameron Young plays his shot on the 12th hole during the first round of the RBC Heritage at Harbor Town Golf Links on April 14, 2022, in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. Is it a stretch? Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. (And if youre looking to place any of these bets yourself, we teamed with BetMGM, and the online sports book is offering a new promotion: Make a risk-free bet up to $1,000. For just $0.83/month, get an ad-free experience and access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord Chat Community, If you can't subscribe, please consider turning off your adblocker for RotoBaller.com. Smith, Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) May 8, 2022. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. The PGA Championship features a stacked field of golfers that will compete at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. Scheffler, the No. There's no place like home, and K.H. They each have +400 odds for a top-10 finish and would be great DFS fillers in the sub-$9,000 salary range. . He earned his first green jacket via a Masters win that was virtually wire-to-wire. Justly so, as he's playing terrific golf, finishing third in each of his past two events. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at In order to score well at Southern Hills,. PGA: Thursday tee times | Best bets | ESPN+ streaming. In 2020, he finished second at the Scottish Open and in 2019, he finished second at the Open Championship. This situation reminds me a little of everyone being off of Rory McIlroy before he took down the Wells Fargo. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +2,000. 2nd Chance Bet up to $500. His form in 2021 has also been inconsistent, but he finished 10th at the Arnold Palmer and 14th at Wells Fargo, so he has it in him to be in contention. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Phil Mickelsonis not in the field for the first time since 1992. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a reason -- but each possess considerable upside and some have even raised a major championship trophy in the past. It will also be good to find a player that can find success out of the rough. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. 1 value play in the event. This one feels too easy. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. Hes played well in majors before with a runner-up at the 2019 Open, runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open, and fourth place at the 2017 U.S. Open. The value is just too good to pass up. The putter will need to get hot for him to walk away with the trophy, but he could end up in the top 10 even with a cold one. He's not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but he's also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. Why not Schauffele, to break the major-less streak, at +2,500? Maybe. Tiger Woods Made Jordan Spieth Feel Bad About Missing Masters Cut, Most PGA Championship wins in golf history, Tiger, Rory, and Spieth form all-star group at the PGA Championship, Scottie Schefflers post-Masters celebration was all-time white New Balance dad energy. The 2022 PGA Championship from Southern Hills CC begins on Thursday (May 19th) Hideki Matsuyama is an absolute steal in the outright market at 35-1. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. 1 in the world and is golfs current darling, but Rahm is one of golfs fiercest competitors. The Horse 5. In fact, hes yet to finish in the top 20 with a career best of T40 at the 2021 Open Championship. The Course: The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island 3. Its got a lot to do with just the bone was healed, there was just a lot of nerve damage. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Very, very little can be gleaned about this weeks event by looking into the time machine at the results from 2007. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. He became the oldest major winner in golf the first over 50 years of age with his two-stroke win over Louis Oosthuizen in 2021. Early Redraft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football) James Cook (RB - BUF) The rookie running back, known for his pass-catching, produced some hype last offseason after landing in an . Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. To-win: Patrick Cantlay, +2,200. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, 7 interesting gear finds inside Tommy Fleetwoods golf bag | Bag Spy, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Bet with your head, not over it. As we make our way further down the board to find a mega-longshot, lets throw that idea directly out the window. The 104th PGA Championship will take place from May 19-22 at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Yang stunned the world with his come-from-behind victory over Tiger Woods at Hazeltine National in 2009, and he is not alone when it comes to those who have emerged from obscurity. Speaking of high numbers! In his past two starts, Champ has been channeling that power into better scoring, with a T10 at the Masters and T6 at the Mexico Open. His recent success has him leading the world in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green over the last 30 days. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. "They're just covering their ass and saying everything that the PGA Tour basically has trained them to say", "Playing the cutline is one of the toughest things in golf. He has finished in the top three in both of his last two outings, with seven top-20 finishes this season. Yes, Scottie Scheffler is on a heater, is No. If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod Ive been telling yall it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! In fact, the other eight players who fit that criteria are all among the favorites this week and cant be found higher than roughly 25-1. Both check all of the boxes that we are looking for on the Southern Hills Country Club course. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. But Champ has such a high ceiling, theres big potential upside here. Over the last 12 months, he ranks ninth in the world in True Strokes Gained, per DataGolf. Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. You arent finding any other player with four wins since 2019 being offered at odds this high. A T-3 at the Farmers, leading the Wells Fargo after 36 holes, and two solid opening rounds last week before a Saturday 73 plummeted him down the leaderboard. Most people don't realize how good Berger has beenrecently and over the past year. He has, however, found a way to grind out finishes in the majors in his career. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Min Woo Lee ($6,700) - When Min Woo Lee begin playing events on the PGA Tour he brought some hype. Now just three months from his 32nd birthday, the native of Seoul, South Korea, is making his PGA Championship debut as the fifth-best golfer from his homeland (at 115th in the Official World. Southern Hills bears little resemblance to last years PGA Championship venue at Kiawah, but if the wind blows as expected in Tulsa this week, Higgs might be able to squeak his way up the leaderboard playing a similar style as his T4 finish at the Ocean Course. The 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills is just a few days from getting underway. This will likely make scoring difficult and will put an emphasis on saving par. Id be shocked if Scheffler isnt in the mix on Sunday afternoon. The Ponies 7. He's confident, and the putter is starting to become a friend once again. Other than being ranked seventhin "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green," his metrics don't pop off the charts. However, his game fits Southern Hills and he seems to be enjoying the course. Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM Phoenix Open. Who will win the PGA Championship, and which long shots will stun the golfing world? Here are a few tips. To have a really good day, players will need to do that and sink some puts on the greens, which may play slower than those at other majors.